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Introduction
to Currency Exchange and the FX Market
Contents
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What
is Currency Exchange?
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Currency exchange
is the trading of one currency against another. Professionals
refer to this as foreign exchange, but may also use the acronyms
Forex or FX.
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The
need for currency exchange
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Currency exchange
is necessary in numerous circumstances.
Consumers
typically come into contact with currency exchange when they
travel. They go to a bank or currency exchange bureau to convert
one currency (typically, their "home currency")
into another (i.e. the currency of the country they intend
to travel to) so they can pay for goods and services in the
foreign country. Consumers may also purchase goods in a foreign
country or via the Internet with their credit card, in which
case they will find that the amount they paid in the foreign
currency will have been converted to their home currency on
their credit card statement. Although each such currency exchange
is a relatively small transaction, the aggregate of all such
transactions is significant.
Businesses
typically have to convert currencies when they conduct business
outside their home country. For example, if they export goods
to another country and receive payment in the currency of
that foreign country, then the payment must often be converted
back to the home currency. Similarly, if they have to import
goods or services, then businesses will often have to pay
in a foreign currency, requiring them to first convert their
home currency into the foreign currency. Large companies convert
huge amounts of currency each year; for example, a company
such as General Electric (GE) converts tens of billions of
dollars each year. The timing of when they convert can have
a large affect on their balance sheet and "bottom line.
Investors and
speculators require currency exchange whenever they trade
in any foreign investment, be that equities, bonds, bank deposits,
or real estate. For example, when a Swedish investor buys
shares in Sun Microsystems on the NASDAQ, she will have to
pay for the shares in U.S. Dollars and likely have to convert
Swedish Krona to U.S. Dollars. Similarly, a Japanese real
estate investor who sells a New York property may well want
to convert the proceeds of the sale in U.S. Dollars to Japanese
Yen.
Investors and speculators
also trade currencies directly in order to benefit from movements
in the currency exchange markets. For example, if an American
investor believes that the Japanese economy is strengthening
and as a result expects the Japanese Yen to appreciate in
value (i.e. go up relative to other currencies), then she
may want to buy Japanese Yen and take what is referred to
as a long position. Similarly, if an American investor believes
that the Euro will go down over time, then she may want to
sell Euro to take a short position. Interestingly, investors
and speculators can profit equally from currencies becoming
stronger (by taking a long position) or from currencies becoming
weaker (by taking a short position). Speculators are often
day traders, trying to take advantage of market movements
in very short time periods; buying a currency and then selling
it again may happen within hours or even minutes. They are
attracted to currency trading for numerous reasons, including
(i) the size and daily volatility of the market, which gives
them unparalleled excitement, (ii) the almost perfect liquidity
of the currency exchange market, (iii) the fact that the currency
exchange market is "open" 24 hours a day market,
and (vi) the fact that currencies can be traded with no brokerage
charges.
Commercial and
Investment Banks trade currencies as a service for their
commercial banking, deposit and lending customers. These institutions
also generally participate in the currency market for hedging
and proprietary trading purposes.
Governments
and central banks trade currencies to improve trading
conditions or to intervene in an attempt to adjust economic
or financial imbalances. Although they do not trade for speculative
reasons --- they are a non-profit organization --- they often
tend to be profitable, since they generally trade on a long-term
basis.
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Currency
exchange rates and spreads
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Currency exchange
rates are determined by the currency exchange market. (The
currency exchange market is described further below.)
A currency exchange rate is always quoted for a currency pair
using ISO
code abbreviations. For example, EUR/USD refers to the
two currencies Euro (the European currency) and U.S. Dollar.
The first is referred to as the base currency, while
the second as the quote currency. The EUR/USD exchange
rate specifies how many US Dollars you have to pay to buy
one Euro, or conversely how many US Dollars you obtain when
you sell one Euro. More generally, if buying, an exchange
rate specifies how much you have to pay in the quote currency
to obtain one unit of the base currency, and if selling, the
exchange rate specifies how much you get in the quote currency
when selling one unit of the base currency.
A currency exchange
rate is typically given as a pair consisting of a bid
price and an ask price. The ask price applies when
buying a currency pair and represents what has to be paid
in the quote currency to obtain one unit of the base currency.
The bid price applies when selling and represents what will
be obtained in the quote currency when selling one unit of
the base currency. The bid price is always lower than the
ask price.
In the currency
market, the following abbreviation for the currency exchange
rate pair is used:
0.8423/28
The first component
(before the slash) refers to the bid price (what you obtain
in USD when you sell EUR), and in this case includes four
digits after the decimal point. The second component (after
the slash) is used to obtain the ask price (what you have
to pay in USD if you buy EUR). The ask price is obtained by
increasing the first component until the last two decimal
places are equal to the digits in the second component. In
this example, the ask price is 0.8428. As another example,
0.8498/03 refers to a bid price of 0.8498 and an ask price
of 0.8503. (Note that for some exchange rates it is customary
to quote rates in units of 100, as is the case with USD/JPY.)
The difference
between the bid and the ask price is referred to as the spread.
When trading large amounts of $1M or higher, the spread obtained
in a quote is typically 5 basis points or PIPs,
with each basis point referring to 0.0001 (or 0.01 when, say,
the Yen is involved). In the example above, the spread is
0.0005 or 5 PIPs. When trading smaller amounts, the spread
may be larger; for example, when trading less than $100,000,
spreads of 50-200 PIPs are common. Credit card companies typically
apply a spread of 200-300 PIPs. Banks and exchange bureaus
typically use a spread in the range of 200-1000 PIPs (in addition
to charging a commission). For investors and speculators,
a lower spread translates into easier profit taking due to
movements in exchange rates.
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The
currency exchange market
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The currency exchange
market is an inter-bank or inter-dealer market that
was established in 1971 when floating exchange rates began
to materialize. In addition, it is an Over-The-Counter market,
meaning that transactions are conducted between any two counter
parties that agree to trade via the telephone or electronic
network. Trading is thus not centralized, as is the case with
many stock markets (i.e. NYSE, ASE, CME) or as the case for
currency futures and currency options, which trade on special
exchanges. Dealers often "advertise" exchange rates
using a distribution network, such as the one provided by
Reuters or Bridge.
Dealers then use the information obtained there (or directly)
to "agree" to a rate and a trade.
The major dealing
centers today are: London, with about 30% of the market,
New York, with 20%, Tokyo, with 12%, Zurich, Frankfurt, Hong
Kong and Singapore, with about 7% each, followed by Paris
and Sydney with 3% each.
In terms of trading
volume, the currency exchange market is the worlds largest
market, with daily trading volumes in excess of $1.5
trillion US dollars. This is orders of magnitude larger than
the bond or stock market. For example, the New York Stock
Exchange has a daily trading volume of approximately $60 billion.
Thus, the currency exchange market is by far the most liquid
market in the world today. Because of the volume in trading,
it is impossible for individuals or companies to affect the
exchange rates. In fact, even central banks and governments
find it increasingly difficult to affect the exchange rates
of the most liquid currencies, such as the US dollar, Japanese
Yen, Euro, Swiss Frank, Canadian Dollar or Australian Dollar.
The currency exchange
market is a true 24-hour market, 5 days a week. There
are dealers in every major time zone. Trading begins Monday
morning in Sydney (which corresponds to 3pm EST, Sunday) and
then daily moves around the globe through the various trading
centers until closing Friday evening at 4:30pm EST in New
York.
Today, over 85%
of all currency exchange transactions involve a few major
currencies: the US Dollar (USD), Japanese Yen (JPY), Euro
(EUR), Swiss Frank (CHF), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar
(CAD), and Australian Dollar (AUD). In the currency exchange
market, most of the currencies are traded only against the
US Dollar. The term cross rate refers to an exchange
rate between two non-dollar currencies. Trading between two
non-dollar currencies usually occurs by first trading one
against the US Dollar and then trading the US Dollar against
the second non-dollar currency. Because of this, the spread
in the exchange rate between two non-dollar currencies is
often higher. (There are a few non-dollar currencies that
are traded directly, such as GBP/EUR or EUR/CHF.) The following
directly traded currency pairs make up the vast majority of
the trading volume and are thus considered to be the most
important ones: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, USD/CAD, EUR/GBP,
GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, and AUD/JPY.
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Benefits
of currency trading vs. equity trading
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Trading currencies
has a number of benefits over equity trading, including:
- 24 hour trading:
The currency exchange market is a true 24-hour market. In
contrast, equity trading is restricted to the operating
hours of their exchanges (which some are extending to accommodate
the requirements of traders). While after-hours trading
has become available through Electronic Communication Networks
(ECN), there are no guarantees that the market will be liquid
at all times, there are no guarantees that trades will be
executed at "market prices", and often traders
will receive a significantly higher spread.
- High liquidity:
It is always possible to find dealers willing to buy or
sell currencies at fair market price, because trading volume
in the currency market can be 50-100 times larger than on
the New York Stock Exchange and because the currency market
is "open" 24 hours a day. In contrast, equities
are more vulnerable to liquidity risks. Without liquidity,
large price movements may occur when individual transactions
take place.
- Intra-day
volatility:
Large volume and liquidity combined with fewer instruments
generates greater intra-day volatility (i.e. rate fluctuations)
in the currency market than exists in the equity markets.
This volatility can be profitably exploited by day-traders.
- Low spreads:
Currency trading offers spreads that are much lower than
what can be obtained when buying or selling equities (especially
in after-hour markets). Equity spreads are typically significantly
higher than currency spreads. Although the tight currency
spreads of 5 PIPs historically have been available only
for transaction sizes of $1M or higher, a shift towards
offering these tighter spreads for smaller transaction sizes
is occurring. OANDAs Currency Trading System offers these
types of tight spreads (and lower) for transactions as small
as $1.
- No transaction
costs:
A currency transaction typically incurs no commission or
transaction fee. This is in stark contrast to the equity
market, where commissions for stock trades range from $8
to $70 in addition to the quoted spread.
- Profit potential
in both rising and falling markets:
In the currency market, it is equally easy to buy currency
(where the speculator benefits if the rate goes up) as it
is to sell short (where the speculator benefits if the rate
goes down). This is in contrast to the equity market, where
it is significantly more difficult to short a stock.
- Equal access
to market information:
Information that might affect currency rates is typically
released by governments and is equally accessible to everyone.
In contrast, professional traders and analysts in the equity
market have a huge advantage by obtaining access to important
corporate information, such as earning estimates and press
releases, before the public has access to them.
- Leverage:
Margin trading allows currency speculators to trade much
larger amounts than they have deposited. For example, with
a margin ratio of 20:1 and a deposit of $10,000, a speculator
can trade amounts up to $200,000. Typically, larger margin
ratios are associated with trading currencies than with
trading equities. (Margin is described in more detail below.)
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How
currency trading is done traditionally
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Currency trading
is always done with currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, and so
it is useful to consider the currency pair as an instrument,
which can be bought or sold.
- Buying the currency
pair implies buying the first, base currency and selling
(short) an equivalent amount of the second, quote currency
(to pay for the base currency). (It is not necessary for
the trader to own the quote currency prior to selling, as
it is sold short.) A speculator buys a currency pair, if
she believes the base currency will go up relative to the
quote currency, or equivalently that the corresponding exchange
rate will go up.
- Selling the
currency pair implies selling the first, base currency (short),
and buying the second, quote currency. A speculator sells
a currency pair, if she believes the base currency will
go down relative to the quote currency, or equivalently,
that the quote currency will go up relative to the base
currency.
After buying a
currency pair, the trader will have an open position in the
currency pair. Right after such a transaction, the value of
the position will be close to zero, because the value of the
base currency is more or less equal to the value of the equivalent
amount of the quote currency. In fact, the value will be slightly
negative, because of the spread involved.
In todays currency
market, a trade goes through a three-step process:
- the trader communicates
the currency pair and the amount he/she would like to trade
with another dealer.
- the dealer responds
with a bid and an ask price
- the trader responds
to the bid and ask price with one of:
- buy (by saying
"Mine" or "I buy" or "I take")
- sell (by saying
"yours" or "I give you" or "I
sell")
- refuse.
The transaction
occurs if the final response is either a buy or a sell. The
dealer is required to quote a "good" market price,
since he does not know whether the trader will buy or sell.
The currency exchange
market described above is referred to as the spot market
and the transaction described is referred to as a spot
deal. A spot deal consists of a bilateral contract between
a party delivering a specified amount of a given currency
against receiving a specified amount of another currency from
a second counter party, based on an agreed exchange rate,
within two business days of the deal date, which is referred
to as the settlement date. (The settlement date for
USD/CAD is one business day after the deal date.) Speculators
rarely deliver, however. Instead, they use what is referred
to as a rollover swap. The rollover swap is designed
to allow the changing of an old deal date to the current date
by simultaneously closing an open position for todays date
and opening the same position for the next day at a price
reflecting the interest rate differential between the two
currencies.
When
a trader buys or sells a currency pair, the value of the currency
pair, as an instrument, initially is close to zero. This is
because (in the case of a buy) the quote currency is sold
to buy an equivalent amount of the base currency. As the market
rates fluctuate, however, the value of the currency pair position
held will also fluctuate. Thus, if the rate for the currency
pair goes down, the speculators long position will lose in
value and become negative. To ensure that the speculator can
carry the risk for the case where the position results in
a loss, banks or dealers typically require sufficient collateral
to cover those losses. This collateral is typically referred
to as margin.
To limit down-side
risk, traders often specify a Stop-Loss rate for each
open trade. The Stop-Loss specifies that the trade should
be closed automatically when the currency exchange rate for
the currency pair in question reaches a certain threshold.
For long positions, the Stop-Loss rate is always lower than
the current exchange rate; for short positions, it is always
higher. Traders, at times, also specify a Take-Profit
rate for their trades in order to lock in a profit when the
exchange rate reaches a certain threshold. For long positions,
the Take-Profit rate must be above the current rate, while
for short positions, it must be below the current rate.
A trader may also
leave an order with a bank, broker or dealer. These so called
leave orders are orders that a trade should be executed
(in the future) when certain market conditions occur. There
are three types of leave orders:
- entry orders:
specifies that a currency pair should be traded when it
reaches a certain exchange rate. Entry orders are used when
the trade would not offset a current position.
- take-profit
orders: are used to clear a position by buying (or selling)
the currency pair of the position when the exchange rate
reaches a specified level.
- stop-loss
orders: are used to clear a position by buying (or selling)
the currency pair of the position when the exchange rate
reaches a specified level.
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Trading
styles: fundamental vs. technical trading
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Currency traders
make decisions using both technical factors and economic fundamentals.
Technical traders make decisions using two primary tools:
(i) charting tools, such as trend lines, and support and resistance
levels, and (ii) quantative trading models which make sue
of mathematical analyses to identify trading opportunities.
Fundamentalists
make decisions assuming that currency exchange rates are affected
primarily by economic and political conditions, and occasionally
by central banks intervening in the currency market in an
attempt to influence the value of their currencies. Fundamentalists
thus use economic information, including news, government-issued
indicators and reports to evaluate trading opportunities.
This includes changes in interest rates, inflation, money
supply, productivity, gross national product, consumer spending
government spending, investments, industrial production, capacity
utilization, factory orders, durable goods orders, inventories,
balance of trade, or employment statistics, as well as changes
in political leadership, war and natural disasters.
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Benefits
of OANDAs Currency Trading System
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OANDAs Currency
Trading System comes from 15+ years of currency trading and
econometric research. The OANDA Currency Trading System allows
currency trading that is significantly more convenient than
through other means. It is truly revolutionary in what it
has to offer. The key aspects that set it apart from other
solutions are:
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regardless of transaction size:
The OANDA Trading System offers spreads as low as 2 PIPs,
which is significantly lower than what is currently available
even for professionals trading million dollar quantities.
- Supports
small trading transactions, as small as $1:
The OANDA Trading Systems supports trades in quantities
as low as $1, and it offers the same low spreads even for
these trades. This is orders of magnitude smaller than the
$1M transaction sizes required by many institutions and
the $25,000 or $100,000 minimal trading sizes required by
most other Internet-based currency trading systems.
- Immediate
settlement, no roll-overs:
When a currency pair is bought or sold, settlement is immediate,
and not within 2 days, as is the case in currency market
today. Hence, there is no reason for roll-overs, as is required
in the currency market today.
- Continuous
interest rates:
The OANDA Trading System pays (and charges) interest rates
on the currency pairs held and does so by the second. Hence
if you have 100,000 EUR/USD, then you will obtain interest
for the 100,000 EUR and be charged interest rate for the
equivalent in USD for every second the instrument is held,
until it is cleared.
- 24/7 availability:
The OANDA Trading System is available for trading 24 hours
a day, 7 days a week. This is in contrast to the Forex market,
in which there is no trading over the weekend.
- Internet
based:
The front-end Trading Station will run on virtually all
Internet-connected browsers. It is thus available anywhere,
anytime.
- Real-time
rates and market news:
The front-end Trading Station displays exchange rates in
real time. Similarly, real-time market news is available.
- Analysis
tools:
The OANDA Trading System also makes available a number of
analysis tools to help the speculator in deciding what currency
pairs to trade and when.
The OANDA Currency
Trading System is a fully automated exchange, where OANDA
plays the role of market maker. It is not an auctioning system,
and not a matching engine.
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